Rabu, 10 Desember 2008

Chinese exports drop

China has reported a fall in exports for the first time in seven years.

Chinese exports declined in November from the same period a year ago for the first time since June 2001, data shows.

But China still reported a record monthly trade surplus of $40.1bn (£26.7bn), as the fall in imports was even bigger than the fall in exports.

Exports dropped by 2.2%, while imports shrank by a massive 17.9% as Chinese consumer spending slumped - a sign of the impact of the global downturn.

October had seen China's exports rise by 19.1% and analysts had expected further growth of at least 13% in November.

However, they failed to anticipate a dramatic decline in foreign demand.

China is expected to show growth of about 9% this year. However, the World Bank has cut its China growth forecast for 2009 from 9.2% to 7.5%, the lowest since 1990.

Economists have been watching China closely, amid worries that global growth could be hit further if China follows the US into the downturn.

Weakening demand

In November, China announced a huge investment plan to kick-start its slowing economy.

About $586bn is to go into housing, infrastructure and post-earthquake reconstruction in China over the next two years.

However, it is unclear whether it will be enough to have an impact, while analysts see tough times ahead.

"It's just a start. Exports and imports will continue to fall in the coming months, probably until next June," said Zhang Shiyuan at Southwest Securities in Beijing.

"China's export sector will begin to show signs of stabilisation only with global recovery," said Jing Ulrich at JP Morgan.

The trade surplus in the 12 months till the end of November rose to $278.7bn from $265bn in a year to the end of October.

Meanwhile, Chinese aviation authorities are urging local airlines to postpone or cancel 2009 plane deliveries amid falling demand for air travel.

The move could hurt aircraft makers Boeing and Airbus, which have hoped to weather weakening demand in their home markets by relying on growth in emerging markets, such as China.

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1 Komentar:

Anonymous Anonim mengatakan...

this article is very good

10 Desember 2008 16.38


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